Analysis
Tracing Expansionist Narratives: A Comparative Analysis of Autocratic Regimes in Azerbaijan and Russia
Azerbaijan and Russia are increasingly rewriting history for geopolitical gain. How are irredentist narratives vis-à-vis Armenia and Ukraine evolving? And what strategies are employed to advance expansionist claims?
In a groundbreaking brief, ISA Senior Fellow Dr. Eduard Abrahamyan and Dr. Tatevik Hayrapetyan explore the ideological evolution of Azerbaijan and Russia’s respective expansionist agendas. The brief also assesses the increasing effectiveness of authoritarian coordination — and its growing threat to regional security.
Azerbaijan's Recognition and Normalization of Northern Cyprus
Azerbaijan is increasingly playing a leading role in normalizing international engagement with Northern Cyprus — with the aim of accelerating the breakaway statelet’s recognition.
Following the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War, Azerbaijan has cemented diplomatic relations with the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC). This brief explores Baku’s evolving approach around the TRNC — and its campaign to promote the territory’s recognition among international actors, with a particular focus on Central Asian regimes.
From Central Europe to the Indo-Pacific: Azerbaijan Undermines Ukraine's War Effort
The Russia-Azerbaijan partnership is increasingly underpinned by global strategic cooperation. The two allies are collaborating across various fronts: disinformation, diplomacy, and more recently Ukraine.
In a groundbreaking brief, ISA Senior Fellow Dr. Eduard Abrahamyan examines Azerbaijan’s hybrid activities across Bulgaria, Slovakia and New Caledonia — and their negative impact on Ukraine’s war effort. The brief also assesses the increasing effectiveness of authoritarian coordination — and its growing threat to Western interests.
Unpacking the Crossroads of "Peace" Initiative
The Crossroads of Peace initiative has generated much interest and speculation. Is the project a facade for concessions vis-à-vis Azerbaijan or a long-shot gambit to promote regional economic integration — and peace? How will the scheme benefit regional stakeholders? ISA’s latest memo provides a concise overview of the COP — its background, features, and economic and geopolitical implications.
The memo includes a set of recommendations for expanding Armenia’s transportation connectivity — and strategic value, while maintaining its national interests.
Russia's Growing Military Deployment in Syunik: A Challenge to Armenian Sovereignty and Defense
Since the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Russia has rapidly expanded its military footprint across Armenia, developing a constellation of security outposts across the Syunik province.
Amid growing Moscow-Baku geopolitical cooperation and Russia’s interest in the so-called Zangezur Corridor, the continued presence of Russian forces across Syunik poses a growing challenge to both Armenia’s sovereignty and defense capacity.
In a groundbreaking memo, ISA Senior Fellow Dr. Eduard Abrahamyan assesses the activities and risks around these Russian military networks.
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